For decades, the best-known college rankings have tried to encompass everything from "academic reputation" to dorm amenities. But a few years ago, we stripped all that away in favor of a simpler measurement:
Which schools give their graduates the best average return—in terms of salary—on their tuition investment?
With help from PayScale, a company that maintains salary profiles of 29 million workers, we collected median pay figures for two pools of each school's alumni: recent graduates (who have been out of school for an average of two years) and mid-career types (an average of 15 years out). For each group, we divided the median alumnus salary by tuition and fees (assuming they paid full price at then-current rates), averaged the results and, finally, converted that result to a percentage figure.
The outcome is a measure of return on investment that we call the Payback Score. For example, a hypothetical grad who spent $100,000 to attend college and now earns $150,000 a year would score 150. The higher the score, the better.
It's an imperfect bit of math. It doesn't take into account financial aid that students received. Neither does it include a host of intangible factors that can make any education more valuable or affect a person's salary prospects.
But a growing number of parents and applicants are giving such calculations more weight, in the face of a steady rise in college costs: Private-college tuition has increased 70% since 2001, to an average of more than $27,000 annually, according to the College Board; public tuition more than doubled over the same stretch. (Related article)
What's worse, a weak job market has made it harder for grads to pay off student loans. Steven Roy Goodman, a college admissions consultant in Washington, D.C., says that even the most prestigious schools have more questions to answer about their alumni incomes. "You have to look at the yield from your education," he says. "Not everybody who goes to Columbia becomes a multimillionaire."
Maybe not, but the average Columbia University grad can expect to earn $100,000 a year by her mid-30s, according to PayScale—2% more than a graduate of a top-priced public university.
So does that justify the extra $50,000 that he or she might pay for an Ivy League education, New York-style? You decide.
Here's the full transcript on America's best and worst college deals.
The Ivy League
Avg. payback score: 94
Avg. salary for recent grads: $55,463
Avg. salary for midcareer grads: $112,838
In any discussion of college expenses, the gold-plated cost of an Ivy League degree quickly becomes Topic A. Among this elite group of schools, four years of full-price tuition and fees for the class of 2009 averaged just under $138,000—82% more than what members of the class of 1996 paid. In response to this soaring bill, many of the schools have dramatically boosted financial-aid packages and offering grants to help families avoid heavy debt burdens.
Princeton, the top-scoring Ivy in our survey, was the first one to pledge to give grants, rather than loans, to all students qualifying for financial aid. At least 60% of Princeton students in the class of 2014 are receiving scholarships and other aid directly from the school, totaling around $40,000 a student. Harvard says the same is true for its incoming freshmen.
That kind of aid will make life easier for aspiring Yale grad David Marcano, a valedictorian and Eagle Scout from Worcester, Mass., who will be paying less than a tenth of the school's sticker price of $56,000 for annual tuition, room and board.
And if PayScale's numbers for future grads are any indication, he'll reap rewards afterwards. Ivy grads, on average, outearn their peers from the start, and the earnings gap between them and top-tier public-school graduates widens over time.
Still, critics say the Ivies have a long way to go to prove they're offering as much value as the best public colleges. Even at the schools with the most generous aid policies, some students get zilch, and many comfortable-but-not-rich families are facing five-figure student-loan bills.
For many, the biggest issue may be whether Ivy League degrees still carry the same economic clout in an age when many other schools have worked hard to improve their academic credentials and where liberal-arts degrees no longer necessarily pave the way to high-paying jobs.
In a study published earlier this year, economists Alan Krueger and Stacy Dale showed that students' SAT scores are a much bigger predictor of future salaries than the school they attend. Kids whose scores were good enough to enter elite colleges eventually earned as much as graduates of those schools—even if they went to college somewhere cheaper.
Non-Ivy Private
Avg. payback score: 79
Avg. salary for recent grads: $46,414
Avg. salary for midcareer grads: $94,181
It was a tough decision. Paul Ott says his son, Evan, tops in his class and a National Merit Scholar, got into a pair of well-regarded private schools and was offered some impressive grant money. But he found that even the private schools' best offers would leave Evan owing as much as $25,000 a year for tuition, room and board.
The Otts, who live in Dallas, are sending Evan to the University of Texas at Austin, where in-state valedictorians attend tuition-free their first year. "That was huge for us, because we're not well-heeled," says Mr. Ott.
Compared with the Ivies, experts say, most private schools have far fewer resources to tap for scholarships and grants. Indeed, the average Ivy League endowment was worth $10 billion at the end of 2010, while the endowment of the average college was worth only about $400 million. The schools in our study cost more to attend, on average, than the Ivies, and their tuition has grown faster since the 1990s.
The loudest complaints may ultimately come from grads whose salaries don't measure up to their college bills. At midcareer, graduates of the schools in this group averaged income of $94,000 a year—certainly respectable, but 16% less than Ivy grads were making and only 6% more than that earned by graduates of much cheaper public colleges. As for SmartMoney's Payback Score, this group averages a 79, lowest among our three categories.
Some education experts blame the income lag on these schools' strong identities as liberal-arts colleges, noting that those who earn the most in this job market tend to major in other subjects, like engineering or business. At Sarah Lawrence College, in Bronxville, N.Y., graduates often choose careers in education, public administration or social work, and come out earning, on average, just $38,600 after two years. Officials at Sarah Lawrence say that figure may underestimate alumni salaries, but also contend that's beside the point: "Their rewards are measured not just by earnings but by how much they are giving back to society," says Tom Blum, the vice president of administration.
Public Schools
Avg. payback score: 141
Avg. salary for recent grads: $48,486
Avg. salary for midcareer grads: $89,662
If our payback survey were a football game, the public schools would be spiking the ball in the end zone. Among recent grads, public alumni earn annual salaries equal to 52% of their four years of tuition and fees; private-school kids bring in just 32% on average. For out-of-state students, full-fare tuition at the schools in our survey is 35% lower than at private colleges, but in many cases, the career options are just as strong.
Ralph Mobley, director of career services at Georgia Tech, says 63% of the 2011 graduating class had jobs at commencement, up from 53% of the class of 2010; computer science and chemical engineering majors were among the hot recruits.
Public colleges have some troubles of their own. As tax revenue shriveled in the recession, many states slashed the budgets of public universities and raised tuition for out-of-state students.
From 1996 to 2009, the cost of a four-year nonresident degree at the schools we studied more than doubled, to $93,500. At UT-Austin, where out-of-state tuition has grown nearly 70% in five years, the average loan debt for undergraduates is now almost $25,000.
Still, the budget cuts haven't yet tarnished the public schools' bargain status. And for students willing to stay in state, the financial equation looks all the better. Mr. Ott, the Dallas father who counseled his son to go to UT, says they are anticipating getting an additional $2,000 or more in state scholarships from the university.
ADDITIONAL READING
"Estimating the Return to College Selectivity over the Career Using Administrative Earning Data" is the study, by economists Alan Krueger and Stacy Dale, mentioned in the article.
"One Plus One Equals..." examines the pros and cons of duel graduate degree programs.
"Is an M.B.A. Worth It?" is a Wall Street Journal Q&A with current, past and future M.B.A. students.
"College Grads Gain on M.B.A.s" looks at why some companies are looking for new hires with only a bachelor's degree.
"Dose of Humility With a Harvard M.B.A." is a Wall Street Journal Q&A with Harvard Business School dean Nitin Nohria.
WEB RESOURCES
"Path to Professions": The Wall Street Journal's 2010 survey of college recruiters found that state universities have become the favorite of companies recruiting new hires because their big student populations and focus on teaching practical skills.
SmartMoney's College Planning: Articles and worksheets help parents and learn about the financial aid process.
Payscale.com: Its 2011-2012 College Salary Report, "Best Colleges: Most Lucrative Schools and Majors," includes information about the best-paying degrees, popular majors, schools and salaries.
Young Money: This personal finance website focuses on issues young adults are facing, such as careers and college decisions and debt and credit.
*This lesson relates to the following Cover Story articles: "Making College Pay" and "'Enough!"
OBJECTIVE
Measure the return on investment in a college education
OVERVIEW
Which schools deliver the best average return on your tuition investment? We looked at 50 colleges, measured graduates' salaries against their total tuition costs and came up with a yardstick we call the Payback Score.
STANDARDS
NBEA: career development, economics and personal finance; NCEE: decision making, role of prices, institutions; NCSS: individuals, groups and institutions
REVIEW
Read the Cover Story articles "Making College Pay" and "Enough" and answer these questions:
1)
Why is the Payback Score "an imperfect bit of math?"
2)
How are some Ivy League schools responding to their soaring tuition bills?
ACTIVITY IDEAS
• Critique the methodology used in "Making College Pay." Do you think it's a good calculation of the value of a college education? Why or why not? If you have yet to make your college choice, would you factor in a Payback Score? Explain.
• Select two colleges you would like to attend and use the Internet to determine the cost of four years of tuition and fees. Then select a possible career and use the Internet to research the median salary for entry-level workers. Calculate your Payback Score for each college. Are you surprised with the results? Why or why not? Then, create a list of intangibles that are important to you, such alumni network, weather, campus culture or proximity to your hometown. If these intangibles were factored into the Payback Score, how would that change each college's score? Discuss your findings as a class.
• Select five CEOs from Fortune 500 companies. Use the Internet to find out where they went to college and what degrees they hold. From your findings, create a hypothesis about the relationship between college choice and career success. Share your findings with the class and discuss. Did everyone have a similar hypothesis? Explain.
• The parents detailed in the Cover Story articles "Making College Pay" and "Enough!" had to weigh the trade-offs of paying for their children's college educations. If you plan to attend college in the next couple of years, review this article with your parents or guardians. How much financial help are they willing to give? How do they balance their college and retirement savings commitments? How much does your dream school cost? What is more important to you right now: attending a prestigious university or graduating virtually debt free? Explain.
• Interview three adults about their college-to-career experience. What did they major in, and how relevant was it to their work now? If they had to do it again, what would they study? Do they feel like their education was worth the expense? Did they have to take out loans? Present your findings to the class, and then discuss what can you do to make sure your college education most effectively supports your career ambitions.
• College students routinely switch majors--a decision that may be as expensive as it is pivotal. Using the Internet, research some ways you can get pre-college experience or knowledge relevant to your planned major--perhaps through a job-shadow, after-school job or internship, through taking a gap year, or through talking with somebody already working in your planned career field. Come up with at least three ways that you can get a better sense of what your major, and the subsequent career, would entail and whether you'd like it.
• Read through the "Employment Change by Detailed Occupation" (link here) from the Bureau of Labor Statistic's Occupational Outlook Handbook. Then as a class, discuss which industries are growing and which are shrinking. What skills would you need to get a job in one of the expanding occupational fields? How confident are you in the government's ability to predict which industries will grow and shrink over the next 10 years? Explain.
ADDITIONAL READING
"Estimating the Return to College Selectivity over the Career Using Administrative Earning Data" is the study, by economists Alan Krueger and Stacy Dale, mentioned in the article.
"One Plus One Equals..." examines the pros and cons of duel graduate degree programs.
"Is an M.B.A. Worth It?" is a Wall Street Journal Q&A with current, past and future M.B.A. students.
"College Grads Gain on M.B.A.s" looks at why some companies are looking for new hires with only a bachelor's degree.
"Dose of Humility With a Harvard M.B.A." is a Wall Street Journal Q&A with Harvard Business School dean Nitin Nohria.
WEB RESOURCES
"Path to Professions": The Wall Street Journal's 2010 survey of college recruiters found that state universities have become the favorite of companies recruiting new hires because their big student populations and focus on teaching practical skills.
SmartMoney's College Planning: Articles and worksheets help parents and learn about the financial aid process.
Payscale.com: Its 2011-2012 College Salary Report, "Best Colleges: Most Lucrative Schools and Majors," includes information about the best-paying degrees, popular majors, schools and salaries.
Young Money: This personal finance website focuses on issues young adults are facing, such as careers and college decisions and debt and credit.